11/12/2024

Trade Outlook: The Trump Administration’s Tariff Policies and Their Impact on EU-US Trade Relations

The US-EU trade relationship faces renewed tensions as the $131.3 billion trade deficit and proposed tariff expansions underscore a shift towards protectionist policies under a potential second Trump administration. Republican strategies aim to bolster domestic industries while challenging EU trade practices and environmental policies.

Key disputes — including retaliatory tariffs and the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism — expose divides over economic nationalism and multilateral cooperation. Proposed measures targeting luxury goods, automobiles, and digital governance reflect efforts to redefine global trade norms in favor of US interests.

While escalating trade disputes could reshape transatlantic relations, internal resistance from Congress and affected sectors presents significant hurdles. The outcome of these policies will determine the trajectory of US-EU trade and broader economic stability.

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